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2022-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 83.1% 16.9% -
Bradley-Terry 75.8% 24.2% -
Margin 90.1% 9.9% -12.2 (16.8 off)
Pythagorean 58.8% 41.2% -
Efficiency 78.2% 21.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.7% 22.3% -
Log Adjusted 77.7% 22.3% -
Points Off/Def 66.0% 34.0% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -29 (87-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Al Horford * 34 3-10 1-4 0-0 8 1 0 0 7 - -
Jayson Tatum * 32 18-28 9-14 6-6 10 7 0 0 51 - -
Robert Williams III * 31 4-6 0-0 0-0 8 4 0 2 8 - -
Jaylen Brown * 30 5-18 4-9 4-6 10 1 1 0 18 - -
Marcus Smart * 30 4-9 2-6 1-2 4 6 4 0 11 - -
Grant Williams 22 3-6 2-3 2-2 7 1 0 1 10 - -
Dennis Schroder 22 2-5 0-0 3-3 2 5 0 0 7 - -
Josh Richardson 16 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Romeo Langford 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Enes Freedom 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Payton Pritchard 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Aaron Nesmith 3 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 31 7-17 0-3 5-5 5 7 2 0 19 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 26 1-12 0-7 2-2 5 5 1 2 4 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 24 4-11 2-3 2-4 7 1 0 1 12 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 22 3-11 0-4 2-3 1 1 0 1 8 - -
Daniel Gafford * 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Deni Avdija 26 6-9 1-2 0-0 7 1 0 0 13 - -
Corey Kispert 24 1-4 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 1 3 - -
Thomas Bryant 21 4-10 2-5 1-1 4 1 2 1 11 - -
Rui Hachimura 19 3-7 1-2 0-0 7 2 1 0 7 - -
Davis Bertans 12 1-5 1-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Montrezl Harrell 7 1-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Raul Neto 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
Aaron Holiday 4 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Anthony Gill 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter