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2022-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 54.7% 45.3% -
Bradley-Terry 42.4% 57.6% -
Margin 40.1% 59.9% +2.2 (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 32.4% 67.6% -
Efficiency 15.1% 84.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.8% 81.2% -
Log Adjusted 18.7% 81.3% -
Points Off/Def 24.6% 75.4% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +7 (94-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 38 12-23 3-7 2-5 9 6 3 1 29 - -
Josh Giddey * 33 3-12 1-6 1-2 5 3 2 0 8 - -
Luguentz Dort * 31 3-10 2-7 2-2 0 1 2 0 10 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * 26 1-9 0-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 - -
Darius Bazley * 21 1-6 0-4 2-2 7 0 2 0 4 - -
Kenrich Williams 24 5-8 2-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 12 - -
Aaron Wiggins 21 4-6 1-3 2-3 2 0 2 0 11 - -
Ty Jerome 16 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 3 1 1 3 - -
Mamadi Diakite 15 1-4 0-0 0-2 8 0 1 1 2 - -
Tre Mann 9 2-3 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 38 6-12 1-1 2-6 17 2 0 1 15 - -
Darius Garland * 38 9-20 1-4 4-4 1 11 1 0 23 - -
Isaac Okoro * 35 3-6 0-3 2-2 5 1 3 1 8 - -
Jarrett Allen * 34 6-9 0-0 2-6 13 3 0 2 14 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 13 3-4 3-4 0-0 2 0 0 1 9 - -
Kevin Love 22 1-4 0-3 4-7 6 2 0 0 6 - -
Cedi Osman 18 3-7 1-5 3-5 1 1 0 0 10 - -
Lamar Stevens 12 3-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Dean Wade 12 1-3 0-2 1-5 3 0 0 1 3 - -
Brandon Goodwin 9 0-5 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 - -
Dylan Windler 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter