Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.8% | 77.2% | +6.7 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +2 (105-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Gordon * | 33 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 33 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 33 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 25 | 0-11 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 26 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 23 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun | 14 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Armoni Brooks | 13 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 13 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 38 | 6-21 | 4-13 | 6-8 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 34 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 31 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 31 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Otto Porter Jr. * | 26 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 15 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter