Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.8% | 58.2% | +1.8 | ✗ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -4 (118-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 37 | 15-26 | 2-6 | 6-8 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 38 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 34 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| John Konchar * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams * | 30 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 28 | 8-17 | 2-4 | 2-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 27 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 7-11 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Culver | 16 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 40 | 11-16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 38 | 10-18 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 35 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 32 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 18 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter