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2022-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 69.7% 30.3% -
Bradley-Terry 61.5% 38.5% -
Margin 70.3% 29.7% -4.7 (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 54.5% 45.5% -
Efficiency 65.0% 35.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.7% 34.3% -
Log Adjusted 65.7% 34.3% -
Points Off/Def 56.2% 43.8% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -4 (105-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 41 8-17 1-2 4-4 7 4 1 0 21 - -
OG Anunoby * 41 6-13 0-4 0-1 9 1 4 1 12 - -
Fred VanVleet * 39 6-17 4-11 5-5 1 12 2 2 21 - -
Scottie Barnes * 39 12-19 0-1 3-4 8 1 1 0 27 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 29 4-12 3-7 2-3 1 1 1 1 13 - -
Chris Boucher 22 4-7 2-3 0-0 7 0 1 0 10 - -
Precious Achiuwa 19 2-5 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 5 - -
Yuta Watanabe 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Justin Champagnie 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 39 10-19 1-3 4-5 5 8 0 0 25 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 39 6-10 5-7 0-0 7 7 1 0 17 - -
Deni Avdija * 31 4-8 1-5 0-0 5 6 0 0 9 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 28 4-8 2-5 0-0 3 5 1 0 10 - -
Daniel Gafford * 11 3-5 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 0 8 - -
Montrezl Harrell 22 4-5 1-1 1-1 5 3 0 2 10 - -
Rui Hachimura 19 5-12 1-3 0-0 8 0 0 0 11 - -
Corey Kispert 15 3-7 0-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Thomas Bryant 13 2-6 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 1 5 - -
Davis Bertans 12 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Raul Neto 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter