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2022-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 34.2% 65.8% -
Bradley-Terry 20.7% 79.3% -
Margin 7.3% 92.7% +13.9 (17.9 off)
Pythagorean 25.7% 74.3% -
Efficiency 6.0% 94.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.9% 93.1% -
Log Adjusted 6.9% 93.1% -
Points Off/Def 15.1% 84.9% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -4 (105-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anfernee Simons * 38 8-17 4-8 1-2 2 4 2 0 21 12 -
Robert Covington * 38 1-3 1-2 2-4 4 0 0 1 5 7 -
Jusuf Nurkic * 37 9-16 1-1 10-13 17 6 1 1 29 38 -
CJ McCollum * 36 7-19 5-10 5-7 5 4 0 2 24 16 -
Nassir Little * 33 3-7 1-4 0-0 8 2 0 0 7 10 -
Ben McLemore 20 4-7 4-7 0-0 3 0 0 0 12 8 -
CJ Elleby 15 2-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 1 0 5 5 -
Trendon Watford 10 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 4 6 -
Dennis Smith Jr. 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 2 0 2 3 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 40 8-19 0-6 11-14 10 7 0 0 27 25 -
Jaylen Brown * 34 7-20 2-7 6-6 5 5 0 0 22 12 -
Robert Williams III * 33 2-4 0-0 1-1 10 2 2 2 5 17 -
Al Horford * 26 3-6 0-3 0-0 4 3 0 3 6 10 -
Dennis Schroder * 21 4-9 1-5 0-0 2 4 4 0 9 10 -
Grant Williams 33 4-7 3-5 2-2 8 3 0 0 13 17 -
Romeo Langford 23 5-7 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 2 12 9 -
Payton Pritchard 11 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 6 5 -
Josh Richardson 11 2-6 1-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 0 -
Enes Freedom 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter