Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.4% | 50.6% | +0.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +2 (110-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Vincent * | 37 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 36 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 33 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 30 | 6-11 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 33 | 6-16 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 27 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kyle Guy | 12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Huerter * | 36 | 8-13 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 36 | 6-15 | 4-11 | 12-15 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 35 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 23 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 28 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Lou Williams | 14 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
* = starter