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2022-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 30.2% 69.8% -
Bradley-Terry 48.4% 51.6% -
Margin 44.6% 55.4% +1.2 (12.2 off)
Pythagorean 53.9% 46.1% -
Efficiency 65.0% 35.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.8% 40.2% -
Log Adjusted 59.9% 40.1% -
Points Off/Def 51.7% 48.3% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -11 (105-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Russell Westbrook * 35 8-17 0-1 2-2 11 7 3 0 18 - -
LeBron James * 33 12-23 2-7 3-3 7 5 1 1 29 - -
Trevor Ariza * 24 2-5 1-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 5 - -
Avery Bradley * 19 3-4 2-3 1-1 4 3 2 0 9 - -
Dwight Howard * 13 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 4 - -
Malik Monk 31 4-9 1-2 1-2 4 2 2 0 10 - -
Austin Reaves 23 0-2 0-2 5-6 3 0 1 0 5 - -
Stanley Johnson 21 3-5 3-4 2-4 5 2 1 1 11 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 20 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 1 2 - -
Carmelo Anthony 17 8-13 4-5 3-3 3 0 0 1 23 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Harris * 38 5-11 2-6 1-1 4 2 0 0 13 - -
Franz Wagner * 37 6-9 1-1 2-2 3 3 0 2 15 - -
Jalen Suggs * 34 6-16 1-7 9-10 4 9 2 2 22 - -
Cole Anthony * 28 2-9 0-4 0-2 4 2 0 2 4 - -
Mo Bamba * 24 3-7 1-4 4-4 8 0 1 2 11 - -
Chuma Okeke 30 4-11 3-10 0-0 6 1 1 0 11 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. 19 6-10 2-4 5-8 5 1 1 1 19 - -
Ignas Brazdeikis 10 3-4 1-2 1-2 0 1 1 0 8 - -
Terrence Ross 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Moritz Wagner 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 - -
Admiral Schofield 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter