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2022-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 15.3% 84.7% -
Bradley-Terry 28.1% 71.9% -
Margin 19.7% 80.3% +7.7 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 35.6% 64.4% -
Efficiency 16.9% 83.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.1% 81.9% -
Log Adjusted 18.1% 81.9% -
Points Off/Def 23.8% 76.2% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors -4 (117-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Duarte * 38 10-16 2-3 5-5 7 3 3 0 27 24 -
Justin Holiday * 34 6-13 4-9 0-0 5 3 0 0 16 11 -
Torrey Craig * 34 5-10 2-5 0-0 7 1 3 1 12 14 -
Goga Bitadze * 31 5-12 1-4 2-5 9 5 0 1 13 16 -
Keifer Sykes * 31 4-12 2-5 0-0 4 3 0 0 10 5 -
Oshae Brissett 21 0-7 0-3 2-4 6 1 1 0 2 3 -
Jeremy Lamb 18 2-5 2-3 8-10 2 2 2 1 14 16 -
Duane Washington Jr. 18 3-7 2-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 8 2 -
Isaiah Jackson 18 5-12 0-1 5-8 7 1 3 0 15 14 -
Lance Stephenson 17 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 3 0 0 4 7 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 43 12-27 6-16 9-9 5 8 1 0 39 26 -
Andrew Wiggins * 38 5-15 1-6 0-1 4 2 1 1 11 4 -
Kevon Looney * 28 5-6 0-0 3-4 15 3 2 0 13 27 -
Klay Thompson * 23 6-17 0-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 12 -2 -
Jonathan Kuminga * 15 0-0 0-0 5-6 5 3 0 0 5 13 -
Andre Iguodala 31 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 4 0 4 4 15 -
Jordan Poole 24 1-7 0-5 3-4 2 4 0 0 5 4 -
Gary Payton II 17 3-5 0-2 0-1 5 0 2 0 6 8 -
Damion Lee 14 3-5 1-2 2-2 0 0 2 0 9 6 -
Nemanja Bjelica 14 4-5 0-1 0-0 6 2 1 1 8 13 -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 14 2-5 1-3 0-0 4 1 2 0 5 7 -

* = starter