Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | +0.6 | ✗ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -8 (101-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 38 | 11-25 | 1-8 | 5-5 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Mikal Bridges * | 37 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 36 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 32 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson | 20 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 18 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 38 | 9-23 | 2-9 | 8-11 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 34 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 32 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 31 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 27 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 28 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter