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2022-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 31.9% 68.1% -
Bradley-Terry 40.0% 60.0% -
Margin 41.2% 58.8% +2.0 (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% -
Efficiency 44.7% 55.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.9% 52.1% -
Log Adjusted 47.9% 52.1% -
Points Off/Def 43.4% 56.6% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -7 (104-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 35 9-12 2-2 0-0 12 10 0 1 20 31 -
Torrey Craig * 31 2-12 1-7 0-0 13 2 0 2 5 10 -
Justin Holiday * 27 4-10 3-8 0-0 1 3 2 1 11 8 -
Caris LeVert * 27 12-16 3-4 3-4 8 2 1 0 30 25 -
Malcolm Brogdon * 26 7-14 0-2 5-5 4 6 1 0 19 16 -
Chris Duarte 32 4-13 2-4 1-1 5 3 1 1 11 8 -
Jeremy Lamb 24 2-5 0-2 1-1 0 1 1 0 5 2 -
Oshae Brissett 15 2-4 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 5 4 -
Isaiah Jackson 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 3 -
Lance Stephenson 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Goga Bitadze 3 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 2 3 5 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 37 11-22 3-7 5-7 12 5 2 0 30 27 -
Russell Westbrook * 26 5-17 4-6 0-0 2 3 1 0 14 3 -
Avery Bradley * 24 2-6 1-3 0-1 1 0 0 0 5 0 -
Trevor Ariza * 15 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 0 -
Dwight Howard * 13 1-1 0-0 3-4 7 1 0 2 5 14 -
Carmelo Anthony 29 6-12 0-5 2-2 7 1 0 2 14 12 -
Malik Monk 27 4-6 1-1 1-2 1 2 0 0 10 7 -
Talen Horton-Tucker 25 9-14 2-5 0-0 2 7 0 2 20 17 -
Austin Reaves 24 1-5 0-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 3 -
Stanley Johnson 16 1-3 0-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 4 5 -

* = starter