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2022-01-20

Model Predictions

Model LA Clippers Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 37.8% 62.2% -
Bradley-Terry 35.4% 64.6% -
Margin 32.4% 67.6% +4.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% -
Efficiency 40.5% 59.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.4% 60.6% -
Log Adjusted 39.4% 60.6% -
Points Off/Def 38.0% 62.0% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets +2 (130-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Reggie Jackson * 38 12-22 3-11 1-2 3 12 0 0 28 - -
Terance Mann * 38 3-6 1-3 0-0 8 3 1 0 7 - -
Ivica Zubac * 37 15-19 0-0 2-2 10 3 1 1 32 - -
Amir Coffey * 30 3-6 2-5 0-0 4 3 2 0 8 - -
Serge Ibaka * 14 3-6 1-3 0-0 6 3 0 1 7 - -
Brandon Boston Jr. 27 6-13 4-7 0-0 4 2 0 0 16 - -
Luke Kennard 26 2-9 1-6 2-2 1 1 0 0 7 - -
Eric Bledsoe 25 5-10 3-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 13 - -
Justise Winslow 13 1-1 0-0 4-6 6 3 0 0 6 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 12 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 1 4 - -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Monte Morris * 44 9-20 0-4 1-1 9 9 2 0 19 - -
Aaron Gordon * 43 10-16 4-7 4-6 4 3 2 0 28 - -
Nikola Jokic * 41 16-25 3-5 14-16 14 10 3 1 49 - -
Will Barton * 41 3-8 1-5 0-0 4 4 0 1 7 - -
Jeff Green * 33 4-9 2-5 2-2 4 3 2 0 12 - -
Davon Reed 17 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Bones Hyland 14 2-7 2-5 0-0 3 3 0 1 6 - -
Zeke Nnaji 12 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Facundo Campazzo 9 0-5 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Austin Rivers 6 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter