Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.8% | 85.2% | +9.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +22 (118-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Wiggins * | 34 | 8-11 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 32 | 4-16 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 29 | 5-21 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 27 | 4-13 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * | 27 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 24 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 22 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Mamadi Diakite | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 15 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 30 | 11-20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 26 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 22 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 21 | 7-12 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 23 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 22 | 7-10 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 18 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Joe Wieskamp | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter