Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.5% | 65.5% | +3.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +4 (102-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 43 | 7-18 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 43 | 8-16 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 41 | 4-20 | 3-15 | 7-8 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 28 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 33 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Justin Champagnie | 16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 42 | 13-24 | 4-10 | 11-12 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 41 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 35 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 33 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 26 | 7-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 17 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter