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2022-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 31.5% 68.5% -
Bradley-Terry 42.0% 58.0% -
Margin 48.0% 52.0% +0.4 (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 49.9% 50.1% -
Efficiency 55.2% 44.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.8% 44.2% -
Log Adjusted 55.9% 44.1% -
Points Off/Def 49.2% 50.8% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +12 (126-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 39 12-27 4-10 5-5 8 14 0 0 33 - -
Ziaire Williams * 33 4-11 1-7 1-1 1 1 1 0 10 - -
John Konchar * 32 3-8 0-4 0-0 7 3 1 2 6 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 31 9-20 2-6 9-10 9 1 0 4 29 - -
Steven Adams * 26 2-8 0-0 0-4 11 2 2 0 4 - -
Brandon Clarke 25 6-9 0-1 2-3 4 1 2 2 14 - -
De'Anthony Melton 17 2-7 1-6 0-2 1 1 2 0 5 - -
Jarrett Culver 16 2-8 1-3 0-0 2 2 2 0 5 - -
Santi Aldama 13 3-7 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Xavier Tillman 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 35 10-18 1-6 6-6 7 7 0 1 27 - -
Bobby Portis * 32 6-11 2-4 0-0 9 1 1 2 14 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 31 12-25 2-4 7-8 15 7 2 1 33 - -
George Hill * 30 5-7 2-4 2-2 6 6 1 0 14 - -
Grayson Allen * 25 3-8 1-5 2-2 3 0 0 0 9 - -
Pat Connaughton 25 5-9 3-5 0-0 4 1 1 0 13 - -
Jrue Holiday 21 2-8 1-3 4-4 5 4 1 0 9 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 18 0-5 0-3 0-0 5 2 1 2 0 - -
Wesley Matthews 18 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 7 - -

* = starter