Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.0% | 82.0% | +8.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +12 (104-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anfernee Simons * | 38 | 9-18 | 6-14 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Robert Covington * | 37 | 3-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 32 | 10-20 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 27 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little * | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trendon Watford | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 20 | 0-7 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| CJ Elleby | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dennis Smith Jr. | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Greg Brown III | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Vincent * | 36 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 33 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 32 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 23 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 32 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 32 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 7-7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Kyle Guy | 17 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 15 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter