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2022-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 14.0% 86.0% -
Bradley-Terry 17.0% 83.0% -
Margin 8.1% 91.9% +13.3 (22.3 off)
Pythagorean 39.1% 60.9% -
Efficiency 25.2% 74.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.2% 76.8% -
Log Adjusted 23.0% 77.0% -
Points Off/Def 28.2% 71.8% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -9 (102-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 41 10-18 6-11 2-2 4 10 0 0 28 - -
Miles Bridges * 33 9-17 1-6 3-3 7 2 0 0 22 - -
LaMelo Ball * 32 5-15 3-6 2-2 10 10 0 1 15 - -
Mason Plumlee * 27 3-4 0-0 0-2 10 0 0 0 6 - -
Gordon Hayward * 20 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 3 2 0 5 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 25 7-14 3-7 1-2 3 0 2 1 18 - -
Cody Martin 21 1-5 0-2 1-2 4 1 1 0 3 - -
P.J. Washington 18 1-4 0-3 0-0 3 1 1 2 2 - -
Jalen McDaniels 18 4-5 2-2 2-2 3 0 0 2 12 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 38 9-20 2-11 1-2 6 6 2 0 21 - -
Dennis Schroder * 36 9-16 5-8 1-1 7 5 3 0 24 - -
Jayson Tatum * 35 5-19 0-7 2-3 6 3 1 0 12 - -
Al Horford * 31 5-7 2-4 1-1 10 4 0 0 13 - -
Grant Williams * 24 2-6 2-5 0-0 2 1 1 1 6 - -
Josh Richardson 25 4-12 2-6 0-0 2 3 1 1 10 - -
Enes Freedom 19 1-1 0-0 3-3 3 0 0 1 5 - -
Romeo Langford 17 4-7 1-3 2-3 1 1 0 0 11 - -
Payton Pritchard 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 - -

* = starter