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2022-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 56.6% 43.4% -
Bradley-Terry 29.0% 71.0% -
Margin 20.0% 80.0% +7.6 (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 29.4% 70.6% -
Efficiency 9.1% 90.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.4% 89.6% -
Log Adjusted 10.3% 89.7% -
Points Off/Def 18.2% 81.8% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +16 (102-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Hamidou Diallo * 35 5-17 1-5 5-7 13 0 2 0 16 14 -
Saddiq Bey * 30 3-13 2-9 2-2 1 1 0 0 10 -1 -
Isaiah Stewart * 27 7-10 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 1 14 16 -
Cade Cunningham * 27 3-10 2-4 0-0 1 4 1 0 8 4 -
Killian Hayes * 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Trey Lyles 24 2-9 0-3 9-12 5 2 0 1 13 12 -
Cory Joseph 23 1-4 0-2 0-1 1 6 0 0 2 5 -
Saben Lee 22 1-3 0-0 0-0 9 4 0 3 2 15 -
Rodney McGruder 22 7-10 4-7 1-2 5 1 1 0 19 16 -
Josh Jackson 16 1-6 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 1 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 28 6-11 4-8 2-2 3 8 3 0 18 21 -
Andrew Wiggins * 27 8-13 3-7 0-2 3 1 3 1 19 14 -
Jonathan Kuminga * 24 4-10 2-4 2-2 10 1 1 0 12 14 -
Kevon Looney * 23 0-2 0-0 0-0 10 3 1 1 0 13 -
Klay Thompson * 22 6-13 3-8 6-6 3 4 2 0 21 17 -
Otto Porter Jr. 21 1-4 1-3 1-2 3 3 0 0 4 6 -
Jordan Poole 20 2-6 0-2 1-1 1 3 0 0 5 3 -
Nemanja Bjelica 17 3-6 1-2 1-2 7 0 1 0 8 10 -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 14 1-4 0-2 2-4 6 2 1 1 4 10 -
Gary Payton II 13 2-7 0-2 1-2 4 1 0 0 5 3 -
Damion Lee 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 -
Moses Moody 7 0-3 0-2 4-4 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
Chris Chiozza 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter