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2022-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Utah Jazz Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 31.3% 68.7% -
Bradley-Terry 36.7% 63.3% -
Margin 37.5% 62.5% +2.8 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 57.9% 42.1% -
Efficiency 74.8% 25.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.1% 26.9% -
Log Adjusted 73.2% 26.8% -
Points Off/Def 62.6% 37.4% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +6 (101-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gobert * 36 6-8 0-0 7-8 16 0 1 3 19 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 36 6-19 0-8 1-1 8 7 1 1 13 - -
Royce O'Neale * 34 3-5 3-5 4-4 5 2 0 1 13 - -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 32 1-9 0-4 3-3 2 6 0 0 5 - -
Mike Conley * 28 6-12 5-9 3-4 1 4 0 0 20 - -
Joe Ingles 23 3-6 3-6 0-0 2 0 1 0 9 - -
Jordan Clarkson 23 2-13 0-6 2-2 2 1 1 0 6 - -
Rudy Gay 18 4-12 1-8 0-0 8 1 2 0 9 - -
Eric Paschall 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Trent Forrest 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 37 9-20 3-8 4-8 7 7 1 1 25 - -
Trevor Ariza * 27 1-8 1-6 1-2 4 0 0 0 4 - -
Russell Westbrook * 27 5-14 1-4 4-4 8 3 0 0 15 - -
Avery Bradley * 26 3-8 2-6 1-1 1 0 0 0 9 - -
Dwight Howard * 21 1-2 0-0 2-2 8 0 3 2 4 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 28 4-7 1-3 2-5 0 0 0 1 11 - -
Malik Monk 24 6-12 2-6 0-0 7 1 1 0 14 - -
Stanley Johnson 24 7-9 1-2 0-1 5 3 1 2 15 - -
Austin Reaves 21 2-5 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 4 - -

* = starter