Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.7% | 42.3% | -1.7 | ✓ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -14 (107-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges * | 34 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 34 | 18-33 | 5-13 | 7-8 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 48 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 32 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 25 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo | 24 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 23 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson | 20 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Elfrid Payton | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ish Wainright | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 33 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 31 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 29 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 29 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 26 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 27 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 18 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 18 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Joe Wieskamp | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter