Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.2% | 44.8% | -1.1 | ✗ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +2 (104-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 37 | 11-18 | 1-4 | 11-12 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 36 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 32 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * | 23 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley * | 18 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 31 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 18 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 17 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Mamadi Diakite | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 38 | 4-17 | 0-6 | 12-14 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 37 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 34 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 27 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 14 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 33 | 4-14 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 3 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter