Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.1% | 66.9% | +3.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +5 (104-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 42 | 9-20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 40 | 7-17 | 6-16 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 39 | 6-18 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa * | 36 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 33 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 38 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 7-9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Justin Champagnie | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 36 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 31 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 26 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 26 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 17 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 34 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 28 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter