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2022-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 37.5% 62.5% -
Bradley-Terry 51.0% 49.0% -
Margin 49.6% 50.4% +0.1 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.9% 51.1% -
Efficiency 52.0% 48.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.0% 47.0% -
Log Adjusted 53.0% 47.0% -
Points Off/Def 47.1% 52.9% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +7 (121-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 36 8-20 1-3 10-14 6 6 1 1 27 - -
Khris Middleton * 35 11-22 4-9 8-8 7 4 2 2 34 - -
Bobby Portis * 32 6-12 1-4 0-0 13 0 1 1 13 - -
George Hill * 31 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 - -
Grayson Allen * 28 3-6 1-2 2-2 2 4 1 0 9 - -
Pat Connaughton 26 5-6 4-5 0-0 6 2 1 0 14 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 21 3-10 3-7 0-0 2 3 1 0 9 - -
Wesley Matthews 20 1-6 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 - -
Jordan Nwora 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 39 7-17 2-6 14-14 4 11 1 0 30 - -
Kevin Huerter * 36 5-15 3-7 0-0 8 3 2 1 13 - -
Onyeka Okongwu * 35 6-9 0-0 0-0 8 3 1 3 12 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 34 6-17 2-6 6-6 9 2 0 1 20 - -
John Collins * 30 5-15 3-9 3-4 12 2 0 3 16 - -
Danilo Gallinari 29 4-5 1-2 7-8 3 3 0 0 16 - -
Delon Wright 15 2-2 2-2 0-0 2 0 2 0 6 - -
Lou Williams 13 3-5 2-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 8 - -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter