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2022-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 57.2% 42.8% -
Bradley-Terry 37.8% 62.2% -
Margin 25.2% 74.8% +6.0 (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 40.3% 59.7% -
Efficiency 24.9% 75.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.0% 72.0% -
Log Adjusted 27.9% 72.1% -
Points Off/Def 30.6% 69.4% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +13 (119-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ayo Dosunmu * 38 7-12 1-3 0-0 10 6 5 2 15 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 32 10-24 0-1 4-4 0 5 0 0 24 - -
Coby White * 31 6-14 4-7 0-0 6 5 0 0 16 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 30 2-13 1-5 2-2 10 3 2 2 7 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie * 15 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Malcolm Hill 29 4-6 2-4 2-3 8 1 0 0 12 - -
Matt Thomas 23 5-7 3-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 13 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 20 4-8 2-5 4-4 5 0 0 1 14 - -
Tony Bradley 14 1-3 0-0 1-2 0 2 2 2 3 - -
Marko Simonovic 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 31 9-17 1-3 6-7 4 3 1 0 25 - -
Desmond Bane * 28 10-17 3-7 2-3 3 4 1 0 25 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 25 6-11 1-2 1-1 5 0 0 5 14 - -
Steven Adams * 22 1-3 0-0 0-1 10 6 2 1 2 - -
Ziaire Williams * 18 0-4 0-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 - -
John Konchar 23 4-8 1-2 0-0 5 1 2 0 9 - -
Kyle Anderson 20 2-5 0-1 0-0 5 2 3 1 4 - -
Brandon Clarke 20 7-8 0-0 1-1 7 2 2 0 15 - -
Tyus Jones 19 4-8 1-2 2-2 1 8 1 0 11 - -
De'Anthony Melton 15 3-6 3-4 1-2 4 1 2 0 10 - -
Xavier Tillman 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Santi Aldama 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jarrett Culver 3 1-2 0-0 0-1 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Dakota Mathias 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter