Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.1% | 79.9% | +7.6 | ✗ (30.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -23 (102-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gobert * | 35 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 35 | 11-24 | 4-12 | 5-7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 30 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 30 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 23 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 26 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 20 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 20 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Eric Paschall | 9 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Trent Forrest | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Denzel Valentine | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 10-18 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 15 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 35 | 6-17 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 34 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 29 | 6-13 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 36 | 5-14 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 18 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| James Ennis III | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter