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2022-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 58.2% 41.8% -
Bradley-Terry 44.8% 55.2% -
Margin 49.3% 50.7% +0.2 (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 40.6% 59.4% -
Efficiency 35.2% 64.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.8% 64.2% -
Log Adjusted 35.8% 64.2% -
Points Off/Def 35.1% 64.9% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings -6 (112-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Porter Jr. * 36 6-12 5-9 6-6 4 7 2 0 23 - -
Christian Wood * 33 8-15 3-7 4-7 14 3 2 1 23 - -
Eric Gordon * 31 6-11 2-5 1-1 7 2 0 0 15 - -
Jalen Green * 29 6-10 1-3 2-2 5 4 0 0 15 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 26 5-6 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 10 - -
Garrison Mathews 23 4-6 4-6 5-5 1 0 0 0 17 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 21 4-6 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 1 9 - -
Alperen Sengun 14 2-4 0-1 2-3 0 2 0 1 6 - -
Armoni Brooks 12 0-5 0-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 - -
Josh Christopher 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terence Davis * 37 6-14 2-10 3-3 6 5 4 0 17 - -
Harrison Barnes * 32 2-7 1-5 7-7 2 3 2 0 12 - -
Chimezie Metu * 26 6-14 1-6 1-1 7 1 1 0 14 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 26 6-12 1-2 1-3 3 4 0 0 14 - -
Richaun Holmes * 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 4 - -
Buddy Hield 29 9-16 5-9 4-5 5 2 4 0 27 - -
Davion Mitchell 27 7-12 2-4 0-1 4 7 4 0 16 - -
Maurice Harkless 18 2-4 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 1 5 - -
Damian Jones 13 1-7 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 - -
Alex Len 12 0-3 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 1 1 - -

* = starter