Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.5% | 74.5% | +5.9 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +16 (108-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony * | 26 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Chuma Okeke * | 25 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez * | 16 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jalen Suggs | 23 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 23 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 19 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 17 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Admiral Schofield | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ignas Brazdeikis | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 31 | 7-19 | 1-6 | 8-9 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 27 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 9-12 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 27 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 25 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 23 | 4-13 | 3-9 | 6-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter