Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.5% | 77.5% | +6.8 | ✓ (30.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +37 (133-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 30 | 9-23 | 2-8 | 5-7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 25 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dwight Howard * | 21 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Avery Bradley * | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Austin Reaves | 26 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Trevor Ariza | 21 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Talen Horton-Tucker | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Wayne Ellington | 14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore | 9 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Green * | 28 | 10-14 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 28 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 23 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 22 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 21 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 32 | 8-15 | 6-10 | 5-5 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 26 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 26 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 23 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| James Ennis III | 6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter