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2022-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 22.9% 77.1% -
Bradley-Terry 28.2% 71.8% -
Margin 14.0% 86.0% +10.0 (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 39.8% 60.2% -
Efficiency 21.4% 78.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.0% 75.0% -
Log Adjusted 24.9% 75.1% -
Points Off/Def 29.1% 70.9% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +2 (114-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ayo Dosunmu * 39 9-10 3-3 0-0 4 10 0 0 21 - -
Coby White * 39 7-16 5-10 0-0 3 5 0 1 19 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 37 7-20 0-0 9-9 8 7 0 1 23 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 35 12-20 2-7 1-1 6 6 2 1 27 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie * 27 2-6 0-1 0-2 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Malcolm Hill 18 1-5 1-3 2-3 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Matt Thomas 17 2-5 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 - -
Tony Bradley 12 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 40 8-24 1-5 6-6 12 4 0 2 23 - -
Dennis Schroder * 36 6-9 1-1 3-4 6 8 1 0 16 - -
Jaylen Brown * 35 8-19 0-5 3-4 7 4 4 0 19 - -
Robert Williams III * 34 5-8 0-0 4-4 13 6 0 2 14 - -
Al Horford * 30 7-11 1-3 0-0 8 1 0 1 15 - -
Josh Richardson 29 5-9 3-5 0-0 1 2 1 1 13 - -
Grant Williams 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Payton Pritchard 11 2-6 2-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Enes Freedom 7 2-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter