Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.7% | 58.3% | +1.8 | ✗ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -5 (102-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland * | 36 | 11-20 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 33 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Lauri Markkanen * | 31 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Lamar Stevens * | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro | 24 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love | 21 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dylan Windler | 16 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Brandon Goodwin | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 34 | 7-19 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 29 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 29 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * | 26 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 28 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 25 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 18 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Mamadi Diakite | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 8 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
* = starter