Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | +4.0 | ✗ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -11 (98-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobias Harris * | 42 | 9-13 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Maxey * | 40 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry * | 40 | 8-15 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Joel Embiid * | 36 | 12-22 | 0-3 | 8-11 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Furkan Korkmaz * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 24 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Charlie Brown Jr. | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Andre Drummond | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 35 | 1-11 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 34 | 2-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 32 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 28 | 3-12 | 2-9 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven * | 23 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 32 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 17 | 1-9 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 17 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 | - | - |
* = starter