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2022-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 78.3% 21.7% -
Bradley-Terry 52.2% 47.8% -
Margin 51.2% 48.8% -0.3 (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 36.5% 63.5% -
Efficiency 26.9% 73.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.5% 71.5% -
Log Adjusted 28.4% 71.6% -
Points Off/Def 31.2% 68.8% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -5 (110-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anfernee Simons * 40 11-21 7-14 2-3 0 11 2 0 31 - -
Robert Covington * 40 5-13 2-6 3-4 9 2 4 1 15 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 30 9-15 0-1 5-10 14 2 2 0 23 - -
Nassir Little * 29 6-8 2-3 4-5 1 0 0 1 18 - -
Ben McLemore * 27 3-9 2-8 2-4 2 1 0 0 10 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 22 3-9 0-0 3-3 4 2 3 0 9 - -
Tony Snell 20 1-4 0-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 - -
CJ Elleby 18 1-3 0-2 3-4 0 0 2 0 5 - -
Trendon Watford 7 0-2 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 - -
Keljin Blevins 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 36 7-18 0-4 2-2 12 2 0 2 16 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 34 9-18 4-10 5-5 1 7 0 0 27 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 29 3-11 0-4 2-2 2 2 0 0 8 - -
Corey Kispert * 26 4-6 3-5 2-2 7 1 1 0 13 - -
Daniel Gafford * 10 0-4 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Montrezl Harrell 25 8-10 0-1 0-2 5 2 1 1 16 - -
Deni Avdija 19 2-6 1-4 1-2 4 0 1 0 6 - -
Raul Neto 19 2-5 1-3 2-2 0 1 1 0 7 - -
Rui Hachimura 14 1-4 1-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Aaron Holiday 12 3-5 2-3 2-2 5 3 0 0 10 - -
Thomas Bryant 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter