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2022-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 49.2% 50.8% -
Bradley-Terry 36.3% 63.7% -
Margin 33.0% 67.0% +3.9 (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -
Efficiency 42.1% 57.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.4% 56.6% -
Log Adjusted 43.4% 56.6% -
Points Off/Def 40.6% 59.4% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -7 (96-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 41 6-17 3-8 2-4 3 7 3 0 17 - -
Pascal Siakam * 40 11-20 3-3 5-9 10 10 2 0 30 - -
Precious Achiuwa * 39 7-13 0-3 0-0 10 2 1 3 14 - -
OG Anunoby * 39 9-23 3-13 3-5 8 4 0 1 24 - -
Yuta Watanabe * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Chris Boucher 36 6-12 2-5 1-2 7 1 1 3 15 - -
Justin Champagnie 30 1-5 1-2 0-0 12 1 0 1 3 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 36 3-12 2-6 8-9 4 5 3 2 16 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 35 6-17 1-3 17-17 6 4 0 2 30 - -
Bobby Portis * 33 4-8 1-3 2-3 11 0 0 3 11 - -
Wesley Matthews * 30 2-10 1-8 0-0 4 1 2 0 5 - -
Grayson Allen * 27 6-11 3-6 3-4 4 3 1 0 18 - -
George Hill 26 3-9 2-5 0-0 3 3 1 0 8 - -
Pat Connaughton 20 1-3 1-3 2-2 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 16 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 3 1 1 3 - -
Rodney Hood 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jordan Nwora 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter