Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.3% | 50.7% | +0.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +12 (126-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 32 | 5-18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 31 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 31 | 7-16 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 28 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 26 | 8-15 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 21 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 18 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun | 13 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 11 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 37 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 34 | 11-18 | 2-4 | 3-6 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 32 | 12-20 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 31 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu * | 13 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 32 | 5-13 | 4-10 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 24 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 17 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Neemias Queta | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter