Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.6% | 67.4% | +4.0 | ✗ (31.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -27 (85-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 32 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 32 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 32 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 31 | 12-22 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 26 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 25 | 5-14 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 20 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 15 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 31 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams * | 29 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 28 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 26 | 4-14 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke * | 20 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 18 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dakota Mathias | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Culver | 4 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter