Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.8% | 67.2% | +3.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +6 (124-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 34 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 7-7 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 29 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 29 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 22 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 34 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter | 27 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 36 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 32 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 32 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven * | 27 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 20 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 31 | 7-16 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter