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2022-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 57.8% 42.2% -
Bradley-Terry 60.3% 39.7% -
Margin 73.4% 26.6% -5.6 (17.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.0% 49.0% -
Efficiency 61.5% 38.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.3% 38.7% -
Log Adjusted 61.4% 38.6% -
Points Off/Def 52.4% 47.6% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +12 (111-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 32 7-17 2-7 4-4 11 5 0 0 20 - -
Jaylen Brown * 32 7-18 2-9 5-6 2 1 0 0 21 - -
Robert Williams III * 31 6-8 0-0 0-0 14 1 0 1 12 - -
Dennis Schroder * 25 0-6 0-2 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 - -
Al Horford * 17 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 1 5 - -
Payton Pritchard 24 7-10 3-4 0-0 3 4 1 0 17 - -
Josh Richardson 18 1-3 1-1 2-2 4 1 0 0 5 - -
Romeo Langford 16 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 1 1 - -
Grant Williams 13 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Enes Freedom 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Aaron Nesmith 9 4-5 1-2 1-1 1 1 2 1 10 - -
Bruno Fernando 2 1-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Brodric Thomas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 39 7-15 1-6 2-2 9 2 1 0 17 - -
Tyrese Maxey * 37 8-16 5-7 2-2 0 5 1 0 23 - -
Seth Curry * 36 5-12 5-9 2-2 2 7 1 1 17 - -
Joel Embiid * 32 7-15 2-7 9-9 13 6 1 1 25 - -
Matisse Thybulle * 28 3-6 1-3 1-4 4 1 5 2 8 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 27 3-8 0-4 1-1 3 2 1 0 7 - -
Georges Niang 17 1-6 0-3 3-3 1 1 1 0 5 - -
Andre Drummond 15 4-5 0-0 1-2 8 2 1 0 9 - -
Isaiah Joe 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Charlie Brown Jr. 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Myles Powell 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter