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2022-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 80.4% 19.6% -
Bradley-Terry 59.2% 40.8% -
Margin 60.5% 39.5% -2.3 (15.7 off)
Pythagorean 59.3% 40.7% -
Efficiency 78.7% 21.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.9% 24.1% -
Log Adjusted 76.0% 24.0% -
Points Off/Def 65.1% 34.9% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers -18 (94-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 35 11-25 6-13 7-8 4 3 0 1 35 - -
Chris Paul * 32 5-10 0-2 2-2 3 9 2 1 12 - -
Mikal Bridges * 30 1-6 0-2 2-2 4 2 0 0 4 - -
Jae Crowder * 30 2-6 2-2 2-2 11 1 1 1 8 - -
Deandre Ayton * 29 12-18 1-1 2-2 12 1 2 1 27 - -
Cameron Payne 23 5-7 1-1 0-0 1 5 0 0 11 - -
Landry Shamet 20 2-6 1-4 3-3 0 0 1 0 8 - -
Jalen Smith 17 0-4 0-2 0-0 12 0 1 1 0 - -
JaVale McGee 16 2-5 0-0 3-4 4 3 1 1 7 - -
Elfrid Payton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Ish Wainright 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caris LeVert * 38 8-19 2-6 2-2 5 9 1 0 20 - -
Justin Holiday * 36 9-16 7-14 0-0 2 4 2 3 25 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 36 4-10 1-3 5-6 14 6 1 0 14 - -
Myles Turner * 28 2-9 0-3 1-2 7 0 3 2 5 - -
Keifer Sykes * 17 2-6 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Chris Duarte 25 2-9 0-5 3-6 3 1 2 0 7 - -
Torrey Craig 24 3-5 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 1 8 - -
Oshae Brissett 15 3-8 0-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Lance Stephenson 10 1-6 1-4 2-2 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Duane Washington Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Isaiah Jackson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -
Goga Bitadze 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter