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2022-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 20.9% 79.1% -
Bradley-Terry 47.9% 52.1% -
Margin 46.8% 53.2% +0.7 (15.3 off)
Pythagorean 61.1% 38.9% -
Efficiency 76.8% 23.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.2% 24.8% -
Log Adjusted 75.3% 24.7% -
Points Off/Def 64.0% 36.0% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +16 (103-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 42 6-21 6-14 6-8 5 10 2 0 24 - -
Pascal Siakam * 40 8-17 1-2 6-9 11 4 0 1 23 - -
OG Anunoby * 36 5-14 3-7 3-4 3 2 0 0 16 - -
Scottie Barnes * 33 4-13 0-4 0-0 7 2 1 0 8 - -
Khem Birch * 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Chris Boucher 24 3-7 1-4 3-3 6 0 1 0 10 - -
Precious Achiuwa 24 2-7 0-1 0-0 8 0 0 1 4 - -
Justin Champagnie 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Yuta Watanabe 8 0-3 0-3 2-2 1 0 0 2 2 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Dalano Banton 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Malachi Flynn 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 33 5-11 3-7 2-2 4 2 0 0 15 - -
Cade Cunningham * 33 8-15 1-4 1-1 7 5 1 0 18 - -
Hamidou Diallo * 25 9-16 0-1 0-0 6 0 2 1 18 - -
Killian Hayes * 25 2-5 0-1 1-2 6 5 2 1 5 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 14 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 2 1 - -
Trey Lyles 33 6-10 0-2 9-10 7 1 2 2 21 - -
Cory Joseph 26 3-7 2-4 1-1 4 4 0 0 9 - -
Josh Jackson 20 5-12 2-7 1-1 4 1 0 0 13 - -
Saben Lee 13 0-4 0-0 3-4 2 3 0 0 3 - -
Cassius Stanley 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter