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2022-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 57.0% 43.0% -
Bradley-Terry 49.5% 50.5% -
Margin 47.6% 52.4% +0.5 (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 35.9% 64.1% -
Efficiency 19.8% 80.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.0% 74.0% -
Log Adjusted 26.1% 73.9% -
Points Off/Def 29.2% 70.8% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -7 (109-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 36 8-11 1-3 2-2 6 7 1 2 19 - -
Gary Harris * 33 6-14 4-12 2-2 2 2 2 0 18 - -
Cole Anthony * 29 2-8 0-3 4-6 6 8 1 0 8 - -
Chuma Okeke * 22 2-6 2-6 0-0 10 0 2 1 6 - -
Robin Lopez * 20 4-5 0-0 2-3 3 2 0 0 10 - -
Moritz Wagner 27 11-17 4-8 0-0 4 1 1 1 26 - -
Terrence Ross 26 4-11 2-7 0-0 3 3 0 0 10 - -
Jalen Suggs 22 5-8 1-2 1-2 6 7 1 0 12 - -
R.J. Hampton 21 3-7 1-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 7 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 41 7-17 2-7 4-4 3 3 0 2 20 - -
Terry Rozier * 38 6-23 4-15 3-3 8 6 1 1 19 - -
Gordon Hayward * 38 7-14 2-5 2-3 3 3 0 1 18 - -
LaMelo Ball * 30 8-18 3-7 4-4 4 8 3 0 23 - -
Mason Plumlee * 26 5-6 0-0 0-2 10 2 1 0 10 - -
Cody Martin 22 1-4 0-1 2-3 7 2 2 1 4 - -
P.J. Washington 18 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Jalen McDaniels 15 3-6 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 7 - -
Ish Smith 6 1-4 0-2 2-2 2 3 2 0 4 - -

* = starter