Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.5% | 85.5% | +9.8 | ✓ (22.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +32 (140-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Smith Jr. * | 36 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Robert Covington * | 30 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore * | 29 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little * | 27 | 4-12 | 3-10 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| CJ Elleby | 26 | 2-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Trendon Watford | 23 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell | 16 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Keljin Blevins | 15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Greg Brown III | 9 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Green * | 30 | 9-11 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 28 | 8-10 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 25 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 3-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 22 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 27 | 7-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 26 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 22 | 6-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 21 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter