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2022-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 72.0% 28.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 44.8% 55.2% - โœ“
Margin 42.2% 57.8% +1.7 โœ“ (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 43.5% 56.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 35.5% 64.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 36.2% 63.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 36.2% 63.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.1% 63.9% - โœ“

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +8 (116-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karl-Anthony Towns * 39 11-17 2-6 1-1 9 3 1 2 25 - -
Anthony Edwards * 38 9-20 5-11 7-7 2 4 1 0 30 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 34 11-19 6-11 1-2 3 6 0 1 29 - -
Patrick Beverley * 30 1-9 0-5 1-2 8 6 2 2 3 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 29 4-5 0-0 0-0 13 0 0 0 8 - -
Malik Beasley 24 1-8 1-7 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 - -
Jaden McDaniels 18 2-7 0-3 0-0 5 0 0 1 4 - -
Naz Reid 11 1-8 1-3 1-2 2 0 0 2 4 - -
Taurean Prince 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Josh Okogie 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 32 5-12 2-8 9-9 3 2 4 0 21 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 32 6-10 2-3 6-10 5 1 1 5 20 - -
Ja Morant * 31 5-16 0-7 6-7 8 9 0 0 16 - -
Kyle Anderson * 22 3-7 0-0 0-2 6 3 0 1 6 - -
Ziaire Williams * 18 2-5 0-2 1-1 0 0 1 0 5 - -
John Konchar 29 6-7 3-4 0-0 17 3 0 0 15 - -
Brandon Clarke 25 6-10 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 1 14 - -
Tyus Jones 16 3-7 0-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 6 - -
De'Anthony Melton 15 3-10 1-4 0-0 3 1 2 0 7 - -
Xavier Tillman 15 3-8 0-1 0-4 2 0 2 0 6 - -

* = starter