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2022-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 58.5% 41.5% -
Bradley-Terry 46.1% 53.9% -
Margin 51.5% 48.5% -0.3 (19.3 off)
Pythagorean 49.9% 50.1% -
Efficiency 57.2% 42.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.0% 42.0% -
Log Adjusted 58.0% 42.0% -
Points Off/Def 50.0% 50.0% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +19 (118-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 29 4-11 2-6 2-2 8 4 2 0 12 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 27 6-11 2-5 2-2 2 1 0 1 16 - -
Klay Thompson * 20 3-11 2-7 3-3 2 1 1 0 11 - -
Kevon Looney * 15 2-5 0-0 3-6 7 1 0 1 7 - -
Gary Payton II * 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 - -
Jordan Poole 24 2-7 2-7 3-3 3 0 0 0 9 - -
Damion Lee 23 3-7 1-3 0-0 7 1 1 0 7 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 19 5-16 1-3 4-6 7 0 1 0 15 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 17 3-6 3-5 0-2 2 1 2 0 9 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 15 0-7 0-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 14 3-6 2-3 0-0 5 1 1 0 8 - -
Andre Iguodala 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Chris Chiozza 13 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 4 0 0 3 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 29 7-13 5-7 4-4 5 7 1 0 23 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 29 11-17 0-2 8-12 12 11 0 3 30 - -
Grayson Allen * 27 6-10 3-7 0-0 5 0 2 1 15 - -
Bobby Portis * 24 8-16 4-7 0-0 7 0 1 1 20 - -
Wesley Matthews * 22 2-3 2-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 6 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 19 2-7 1-5 0-0 6 0 1 0 5 - -
Jordan Nwora 19 3-10 0-4 0-2 7 1 2 0 6 - -
George Hill 17 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 - -
Pat Connaughton 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 5 3 0 0 3 - -
Rodney Hood 13 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 1 3 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Lindell Wigginton 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Semi Ojeleye 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 - -

* = starter