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2022-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 44.8% 55.2% -
Bradley-Terry 47.0% 53.0% -
Margin 44.4% 55.6% +1.2 (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% -
Efficiency 55.6% 44.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.2% 48.8% -
Log Adjusted 51.3% 48.7% -
Points Off/Def 45.4% 54.6% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings +9 (125-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 38 13-29 3-12 5-10 7 6 0 1 34 - -
Russell Westbrook * 37 2-14 0-5 4-5 12 6 1 0 8 - -
Malik Monk * 29 7-13 6-9 2-2 7 3 0 2 22 - -
Avery Bradley * 26 2-9 0-4 2-2 3 4 1 0 6 - -
Trevor Ariza * 25 1-4 0-2 0-0 5 3 3 0 2 - -
Austin Reaves 27 7-10 4-7 1-1 3 0 0 0 19 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 19 4-9 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 9 - -
Dwight Howard 14 3-3 0-0 2-4 7 1 0 0 8 - -
Stanley Johnson 11 3-5 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 8 - -
Wayne Ellington 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 37 5-10 2-5 2-2 3 10 2 1 14 - -
Harrison Barnes * 37 9-14 3-6 2-2 7 2 0 1 23 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 36 11-21 0-2 7-9 4 4 0 0 29 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 30 7-12 1-2 1-2 9 1 1 0 16 - -
Chimezie Metu * 21 5-8 2-4 2-2 7 4 2 2 14 - -
Buddy Hield 28 4-8 2-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 10 - -
Alex Len 17 3-4 0-0 2-2 3 3 1 0 8 - -
Davion Mitchell 17 3-7 0-3 0-0 5 2 2 2 6 - -
Maurice Harkless 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -
Terence Davis 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Neemias Queta 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter