Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✗ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -4 (124-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Gordon * | 32 | 9-10 | 6-7 | 7-10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 31 | 9-17 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 29 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 29 | 4-14 | 0-6 | 6-7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 28 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 19 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis | 16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 15 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 36 | 12-26 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 31 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Joshua Primo * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 24 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 23 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 31 | 7-15 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 24 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 21 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 16 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Devontae Cacok | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter