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2022-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 42.8% 57.2% -
Bradley-Terry 40.0% 60.0% -
Margin 37.3% 62.7% +2.9 (20.1 off)
Pythagorean 50.8% 49.2% -
Efficiency 58.7% 41.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.1% 38.9% -
Log Adjusted 61.2% 38.8% -
Points Off/Def 53.0% 47.0% -

Actual: New York Knicks +23 (108-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Brunson * 37 6-12 1-3 1-1 7 6 0 0 14 - -
Maxi Kleber * 36 3-10 3-8 0-0 5 0 0 1 9 - -
Luka Doncic * 36 8-23 1-9 4-6 11 5 2 0 21 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 34 2-8 0-4 3-4 3 0 1 0 7 - -
Dwight Powell * 16 2-2 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 1 4 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. 29 5-11 1-7 2-2 1 3 1 0 13 - -
Reggie Bullock 19 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Josh Green 11 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 - -
Marquese Chriss 6 2-2 1-1 1-2 0 1 0 0 6 - -
Sterling Brown 6 2-3 0-1 1-1 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Moses Brown 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Theo Pinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Frank Ntilikina 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 40 13-22 4-7 2-2 7 2 0 0 32 - -
Julius Randle * 37 6-17 1-3 4-6 12 8 0 0 17 - -
Alec Burks * 34 2-9 2-3 4-4 8 6 2 0 10 - -
Evan Fournier * 33 5-9 2-4 1-2 5 3 0 0 13 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 25 9-10 0-0 1-1 10 0 1 2 19 - -
Nerlens Noel 21 2-4 0-1 0-0 6 0 1 2 4 - -
Quentin Grimes 18 3-6 3-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 9 - -
Immanuel Quickley 14 1-7 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 - -
Obi Toppin 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Miles McBride 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Kevin Knox II 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jericho Sims 1 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter