Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.7% | 22.3% | -6.9 | ✓ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -19 (100-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 37 | 11-19 | 4-9 | 7-8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 33 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 35 | 11-19 | 7-11 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder * | 34 | 7-11 | 4-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 29 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Enes Freedom | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Brodric Thomas | 3 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 31 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert * | 28 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 26 | 5-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 23 | 8-14 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 27 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 25 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Lance Stephenson | 20 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Duane Washington Jr. | 14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb | 6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Keifer Sykes | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Terry Taylor | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter