Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.9% | 40.1% | -2.2 | ✓ (24.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -27 (108-135). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges * | 29 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 29 | 11-18 | 1-5 | 7-10 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 23 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 31 | 8-12 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 25 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 15 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Ish Wainright | 15 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Elfrid Payton | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saddiq Bey * | 29 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Cade Cunningham * | 24 | 9-15 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 27 | 5-11 | 4-6 | 7-8 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Cassius Stanley | 22 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 19 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 6-13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Saben Lee | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Josh Jackson | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Luka Garza | 6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter