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2022-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 68.4% 31.6% -
Bradley-Terry 47.0% 53.0% -
Margin 44.3% 55.7% +1.3 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% -
Efficiency 49.1% 50.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% -
Log Adjusted 49.2% 50.8% -
Points Off/Def 44.0% 56.0% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +8 (116-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 38 8-21 2-9 9-10 10 10 2 0 27 28 -
Andrew Wiggins * 33 5-12 3-6 0-0 4 2 0 0 13 7 -
Klay Thompson * 19 5-13 2-5 2-2 3 3 1 1 14 9 -
Kevon Looney * 18 1-3 0-0 4-4 6 1 1 0 6 11 -
Juan Toscano-Anderson * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
Otto Porter Jr. 28 3-5 1-2 2-4 6 2 0 1 9 13 -
Jordan Poole 22 3-11 1-6 5-5 1 2 0 2 12 6 -
Gary Payton II 22 6-8 1-2 0-0 5 0 3 0 13 13 -
Andre Iguodala 20 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 1 0 5 -
Nemanja Bjelica 11 2-3 2-3 1-2 4 1 0 0 7 9 -
Damion Lee 9 1-2 1-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 5 4 -
Moses Moody 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 36 11-23 1-4 6-8 5 8 0 2 29 21 -
Desmond Bane * 32 3-14 3-8 2-3 3 4 0 0 11 4 -
Ziaire Williams * 30 6-12 3-7 2-2 1 2 0 0 17 8 -
Kyle Anderson * 24 4-8 0-0 0-0 4 2 3 1 8 10 -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 22 5-13 1-4 2-2 11 0 2 3 13 16 -
Brandon Clarke 25 6-9 0-0 2-3 9 1 1 2 14 18 -
Tyus Jones 23 6-8 5-5 0-0 6 8 1 0 17 24 -
John Konchar 17 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 2 2 0 3 9 -
Xavier Tillman 15 1-6 0-2 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 4 -
De'Anthony Melton 12 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 0 -

* = starter