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2022-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 84.8% 15.2% -
Bradley-Terry 70.6% 29.4% -
Margin 84.7% 15.3% -9.4 (13.4 off)
Pythagorean 39.1% 60.9% -
Efficiency 30.8% 69.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.3% 66.7% -
Log Adjusted 33.1% 66.9% -
Points Off/Def 33.9% 66.1% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +4 (122-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Giddey * 35 8-15 2-6 0-0 6 8 2 0 18 - -
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 35 13-22 1-2 5-6 3 8 0 0 32 - -
Luguentz Dort * 34 6-14 2-7 3-3 5 2 2 0 17 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * 28 2-5 2-4 1-2 3 2 0 0 7 - -
Aaron Wiggins * 17 1-6 0-4 0-0 6 0 1 0 2 - -
Darius Bazley 30 5-7 2-4 2-2 9 1 0 1 14 - -
Tre Mann 22 4-11 1-5 2-2 2 0 0 0 11 - -
Ty Jerome 14 6-10 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 12 - -
Derrick Favors 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Mike Muscala 9 2-6 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 35 12-17 1-4 4-7 5 3 0 1 29 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 33 7-15 1-6 7-7 3 10 2 0 22 - -
Corey Kispert * 29 5-9 2-5 0-0 5 3 0 1 12 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 29 5-13 3-7 3-3 3 3 0 2 16 - -
Daniel Gafford * 23 3-4 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 0 6 - -
Montrezl Harrell 24 5-8 0-0 2-4 7 2 0 1 12 - -
Raul Neto 19 1-5 0-2 0-0 5 5 0 0 2 - -
Deni Avdija 18 3-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 7 - -
Rui Hachimura 14 3-5 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 7 - -
Davis Bertans 12 3-7 3-7 0-0 3 0 0 2 9 - -

* = starter